Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Predictions for MLB July 10
Best NRFI Picks Today: No Run First Inning Predictions for MLB July 10
After going a perfect three-for-three on YRFIs Tuesday, we’re looking to carry that momentum into the evening and kick off the weekend on a high note!
Tonight’s slate features at least one NRFI on my radar, plus two more YRFIs worth sweating through. Let’s see if the good times keep rolling!
Check out the full MLB picks below.
Best NRFI/YRFI Predictions Today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Astros vs. Rangers YRFI | -107 |
| Athletics vs. White Sox YRFI | -121 |
| Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers NRFI | -112 |
Astros at Rangers: YRFI (-107)
Cal Quantrill drawing the start tonight for the Texas Rangers is all I need to immediately gravitate toward the YRFI. That instinct gets even stronger when you consider that Yordan Alvarez has 100% arsenal coverage against him and grades out as an elite hitter on Batters-Box — he alone might be enough to deliver in the opening frame.
Meanwhile, Hunter Brown is on the hill for Houston and has been far from sharp of late. Across his last three outings, Brown has posted a 6.23 ERA and a 1.77 WHIP.
Looking at the bigger picture, both offenses have been productive over their last six games, with each team registering at least a 107 wRC+, a .199 ISO, and a .323 wOBA.
Houston also ranks second in first-inning runs scored and fifth in YRFI percentage leaguewide, making this an ideal setup for early offensive fireworks.
- Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CW33, SCHN
Athletics at White Sox: YRFI (-121)
This might be one of the stronger vibe-driven plays I’ve made in a while — White Sox slugger Munetaka Murakami is reportedly set to come off the IL tonight. Chicago’s offense has cooled off considerably this week, but getting their star first baseman back in the lineup could be exactly the jolt this unit needs to wake up.
They’ll be facing Athletics right-hander Aaron Civale, who carries one of the worst pitcher ratings on tonight’s slate. He also grades poorly across matchup ISO, wOBA, hard contact, strikeout rate, and ground ball rate.
In 15 starts this season, Civale has given up 8 first-inning runs, with opposing hitters combining to slash .339/.382/.548 with a .931 OPS against him early.
Sean Burke gets the nod for Chicago, and he hasn’t been much cleaner in the first inning himself. Through 14 starts, he’s surrendered 9 first-inning runs, with opponents posting a .309 average, a .473 slugging percentage, and an .800 OPS.
Both pitchers invite early trouble, but my lean is toward the White Sox being the side that does the damage.
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CHSN, NBCSCA
Diamondbacks at Dodgers: NRFI (-112)
This one figures to be a nail-biter — but that’s part of what makes the NRFI such an enjoyable play. Both Arizona and Los Angeles have cooled off significantly over their last six games, with each club posting a wRC+ below 85, a wOBA under .295, and an OPS below .660. That offensive sluggishness makes the NRFI an appealing option.
Shohei Ohtani takes the ball for Los Angeles and will face a Diamondbacks lineup that doesn’t contain a single elite or strongly rated hitter according to Batters-Box’s current season grades. On the flip side, Eduardo Rodriguez has just one elite-rated bat and three strong-rated bats to work through.
I’m comfortable sweating out what should be a tense bottom of the first inning.
- Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ARID, SNLA
What Is an NRFI Prediction?
NRFI (No Run First Inning) and YRFI (Yes Run First Inning) picks add a fun and fast-paced dimension to the start of any MLB game. An NRFI pick means you’re predicting that neither team scores in the opening inning — essentially banking on both starting pitchers to escape the frame cleanly through strikeouts, weak contact, or strong defense.
A YRFI pick is the mirror image: you’re predicting that at least one run crosses the plate in the first inning, whether via a leadoff walk, a clutch hit, or an early home run.
Both markets offer immediate gratification, giving you a quick resolution right at the game’s opening bell.
Prices listed are accurate at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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